Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks: 7/16
You don’t want to ignite this White Sox team, Twins, so be cautious. However, they have been doing just that, giving up 27 runs to the Southsides in the last 3 games. The season series has already gone over this amount 6-2 as a result, and I see another one today. Although Dylan Bundy’s lone start against the White Sox this season did result in him going above this statistic, he may be a strong option to shut down their offence.
However, the Twins, who just faced Lance Lynn 10 days ago, should be able to get their own bats going today.
MLB (0.75 Unit) NY Mets -1.5 @ Chicago Cubs Game 1 (+130): 1:20 PM CT on Marquee
You don’t want to ignite this White Sox team, Twins, so be cautious. However, they have been doing just that, giving up 27 runs to the Southsiders in the last 3 games. The season series has already gone over this amount 6-2 as a result, and I see another one today. Although Dylan Bundy’s lone start against the White Sox this season did result in him going above this statistic, he may be a strong option to shut down their offence.
However, the Twins, who just faced Lance Lynn 10 days ago, should be able to get their own bats going today. That will simply fall short of the Mets offence’s anticipated performance against former comrade Marcus Stroman. The comfortable surroundings of Wrigley Field have not been kind to Stroman, who has a 9.33 ERA there. Additionally, despite having a terrible bullpen, Stroman should be able to handle a lot of runs because New York’s offence has an overall.336 average against him. The Mets are the run line favourites this afternoon and are now the second-best club in baseball, so they should maintain that ranking.
MLB (0.5 Unit): 3:05 PM CT on Bally Sports SW, Seattle Mariners -1.5 versus Texas Rangers (+120)
Sadly, Baltimore’s winning streak came to an end, but the Mariners’ streak is still going strong. They had won 12 straight games and 20 of their last 23 going into this game, which serves as the penultimate one before the All-Star break. They’ve also played well versus Texas this season, going 6-2 with a plus-11 run differential against the Rangers. Logan Gilbert, who is possibly their best starter and was already 2-0 against Texas this season before Seattle even came close to this hot streak, is someone I like in this position as well.
Since they will be facing Spencer Howard tonight, the hot Mariner bats, who have already scored 14 runs over the last two nights in Arlington, could still be getting warmed up. Right-handed hitters make up all of Seattle’s most dangerous hitters, and Howard is terrible against them, giving up a.391 average and 1.286 OPS. This should enable the Mariners to provide Gilbert, who has a 0.71 ERA this year against Texas, plenty of support. In my opinion, that means Seattle will win easily, and I’m really enjoying the plus-juice return for that to happen.
MLB: 6:15 PM CT on FOX; Boston Red Sox vs NY Yankees Over 8.5 (-110)
This amount seems a little too low given how recently this competition has developed. The season series had a slower scoring start, but the last five games have averaged 13 runs over this total. And this pitching matchup—during which 17 runs were scored—was just seen on Sunday night.
Given their respective great starting pitching records versus the opposition side, there is good reason to think that two pitchers who were both thoroughly beaten that evening can recover. But Jameson Taillon, who has an 8.57 ERA over his last four outings, is finding that being hammered is a serious trend. Additionally, Nick Pivetta has been on a downward trend. He will face right-handed hitters and is noticeably much poorer against them.
In the end, I’ll rely on the overall pattern of this series and the idea that the bats benefit from pitchers making successive starts against the same club. That ought to increase the score of this game by a sum that I was really startled to see.
Since joining Zone Coverage, Tiny Nick is 807-675 ATS (+77.5 Units) on his Locks. He will deliver his Locks and Degenerate picks every day. The games that he is most adept at are locks. Although amusing, degenerates are riskier picks.
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