It appears that business investment has remained constant despite rising interest rates and growing economic concerns as orders for durable goods from US factories increased more than expected in May.
Bookings for durable goods—items meant to last at least three years—rose by 0.7 percent in May, according to Commerce Department data released on Monday, up from a revised 0.4 percent increase the month before (Jun 27). Inflation is not taken into account in the figures.
Core capital goods orders, a proxy for equipment investment that excludes aircraft and military hardware, increased by 0.5% after increasing by 0.3% the previous month.
According to economists polled by Bloomberg, the core figure was expected to rise by 0.2% and orders for all durable goods would rise by 0.1%.
Even though more recent manufacturing data have begun to show signs of softening, the broad pickup in orders suggests capital investment was solid in May. In June, the number of regional Fed measures of economic activity declined or flat-lined, including in the state of New York and the Philadelphia region.
S&P Global’s manufacturing output index also fell into the contraction range as a result of rising costs, a decline in demand, and a lack of materials. Likewise, new orders.
The outlook for the economy has gotten worse, and some companies are becoming more cautious as a result of the Federal Reserve’s aggressive policy actions and the likelihood of a recession increasing. Americans are reducing their spending on goods in the interim.
Core capital goods shipments increased 0.8% for a second month. This statistic is used to calculate equipment investment in the government’s gross domestic product report. In the latter half of July, the initial second-quarter GDP estimate will be made public.
However, there are indications that consumer demand for durable goods is declining. An analysis of purchasing trends for household durable goods published last week by the University of Michigan revealed a new record low.
Orders for basic metals, machinery, communications equipment, and automobiles all surged in May. Bookings for appliances and electrical equipment became easier. It’s unclear how much the overall rise throughout the month was influenced by rising inflation.
Commercial airplane reservations decreased by 1.1%. Boeing Co. received 23 orders in May, fewer than the 46 it had disclosed a month earlier. Aircraft orders are unpredictable, and the government data don’t always match the company’s numbers, even though comparing the two is frequently beneficial.
Orders for durable goods other than transportation equipment increased last month by 0.7 percent.
Unfilled orders for all durable goods climbed by 0.3%, while inventories rose by 0.6%, according to BLOOMBERG.